Even though we don’t usually calculate probabilities, I think we instinctively know that the more often we go out, the more opportunity (and the greater the chance) of being caught. And if you go out to places where others you know are more likely to frequent, you increase your odds again. And staying in one place increases your odds more than just passing someone by.
I had one close call a few years ago, and I think I have come to the conclusion that I will likely be caught someday. Accepting this I don’t worry about being caught. This is who I am, this is what I enjoy doing.